67 comments
2.1k forecasters
Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?
1%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 20, 2024
Closes:Dec 13, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 27, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 14, 2025
What will Donald Trump's net approval be on November 2, 2026?
-10.6
(-14.1 - -7.19)
-10.6
(-14.1 - -7.19)
141 forecasters
Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?
40% chance
1k
Will Donald J. Trump vacate the U.S. Presidency before noon Eastern Time on January 20, 2029?
22% chance
50