79 comments
1.9k forecasters
Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?
5%chance
Forecast Timeline
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Dec 20, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 14, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
If Trump is re-elected, will he achieve a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine war during his term?
50% chance
113
When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?
95 forecasters
If a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict goes into effect in 2025, how long will it last?
90 forecasters