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[Short Fuse] What will this question's interest score be on October 3rd?


Metaculus questions have interest scores. Some are high. Some not so much (sorry, sports).

I don't have a good idea for a short fuse question, and I understand Metaculites love Keynesian beauty contests, so we get this.

Question: What will be the interest score of this question when it resolves on the 3rd of October 2019?

Resolution details:

  • The exact resolution time is to be randomly selected by the admin with the help of the website, restricted to a convenient range (I'm not getting up in the middle of the night for this).
  • The resolution value will be checked once by the admin within five minutes after the resolution time, and written immediately in the comments.
  • This question will close retroactively to the resolution time (edit: the question was closed in accordance with the scheduled auto-closing time).

Make a Prediction


Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.