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Will Donald Trump resign from the office of U.S. president before the end of his first term?

Following the Watergate scandal, an impeachment process against Richard Nixon began in the United States House of Representatives on October 30, 1973.

Before the House could vote on the impeachment resolutions, Nixon made public on August 5, 1974 a transcript of one of the additional conversations, known as the "Smoking Gun Tape", which made clear his complicity in the cover-up. With his political support completely eroded, Nixon resigned from office on August 9, 1974.

On September 24, 2019, an impeachment inquiry against Donald Trump was initiated, when Nancy Pelosi, the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives, announced the beginning of a formal impeachment inquiry into Donald Trump. The inquiry was announced in the wake of an anonymous whistleblower report which alleged a widespread abuse of power, and then coverup, by Donald Trump during his presidency.

If the investigation proceeds, and produces enough evidence to warrant drawing up and/or voting on articles of impeachment, there might be some scenarios under which Trump may be expected to resign. According to an article by The Week:

Our second option is a variant of the Nixon play: With an impeachment vote pending or accomplished (in Nixon's case, articles were approved in committee but not yet the full House), Trump could resign. As it would allow him to endlessly deny wrongdoing and claim political persecution until the day he dies, this option may be appealing to the president.

Will Donald Trump resign from the office of U.S. president before the end of his first term?

This question resolves positively if Donald Trump himself, the Financial Times or the New York Times announces that Donald Trump is resigning the office of U.S. president before the inauguration of the candidate that wins the 2020 presidential election (which is currently scheduled for January 20, 2021).

This question resolves negatively if Donald Trump does not resign and remains president throughout his first term. Moreover, this question resolves negatively if Donald Trump does not resign but for any reason is no longer president before the next scheduled inauguration date (e.g. if he's removed from office, passes away, etc.)


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