Question
By 2030, how many people will have ever landed on the Moon?
Total Forecasters241
Community Prediction
16.4 people
(13.5 people - 22.1 people)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 13.54 | — |
| median | 16.35 | — |
| upper 75% | 22.06 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >100 | 1.4% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 3, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 5, 2019
Authors:
Opened:Oct 3, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 5, 2019