50 comments
241 forecasters
By 2030, how many people will have ever landed on the Moon?
Current estimate
16.7 people
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 3, 2019
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 5, 2019
What will be the maximum number of people simultaneously on the moon in 2030?
1.96 people
(0.724 - 4.53)
1.96 people
(0.724 - 4.53)
97 forecasters
How many humans will have landed on the moon before anyone does on Mars?
44.2 people
(22.1 - 112)
44.2 people
(22.1 - 112)
17 forecasters
How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025?
5.92 spacecraft
(4.82 - 7.22)
5.92 spacecraft
(4.82 - 7.22)
74 forecasters