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Question
By 2030, how many people will have ever landed on the Moon?
42
49 comments
49
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
234
Community Prediction
17.5
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Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
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My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>100
...
...
...
...
13.81
17.48
24.37
1.9%
Background Info
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Space
Technology
SpaceX Starship
SpaceX reusable launch system
Blue Origin
Blue Moon (spacecraft)
United States
Moon
Artemis program
SpaceX
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embed
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Space
Technology
SpaceX Starship
SpaceX reusable launch system
Blue Origin
Blue Moon (spacecraft)
United States
Moon
Artemis program
SpaceX
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
Blue Origin launches 6 tourists to edge of space, including couple making their second flight
CBS
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Nov 23, 2024
NASA offers $3 million in cash prizes to solve a problem that is not rocket science
Daily Mail
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Nov 23, 2024
Say Goodbye to the Earth's Second Moon As It Leaves Before Thanksgiving
Newsweek
•
Nov 25, 2024
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about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
Blue Origin launches 6 tourists to edge of space, including couple making their second flight
CBS
•
Nov 23, 2024
NASA offers $3 million in cash prizes to solve a problem that is not rocket science
Daily Mail
•
Nov 23, 2024
Say Goodbye to the Earth's Second Moon As It Leaves Before Thanksgiving
Newsweek
•
Nov 25, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch