Your submission is now in Draft mode.

Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

Submit Essay

Once you submit your essay, you can no longer edit it.


This content now needs to be approved by community moderators.


This essay was submitted and is waiting for review.

Total People Ever Landed on Moon 2030-01-01


As of 2019, only 12 people have ever landed on the Moon. All of these people did so between July 1969 and December 1972.

The United States is currently pursuing a new crewed moon landing by year end 2024. Multiple private initiatives that may enable crewed landings on the Moon in the coming decade are also underway, including development of the Blue Moon and Starship vehicles.

By 2030, how many people will have ever landed on the Moon?

This question will resolve as the number of individual humans who have ever landed, and survived the landing, on the Moon before January 1 2030. Multiple visits made by the same human will not count more than once towards this question.

Technology – Space

Make a Prediction


Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.