40 forecasters

If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

Current estimate

0.858%

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Authors:

Opened:

Jan 23, 2025

Closes:

Mar 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 2, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 25, 2025

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