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Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?


Dramatic recent progress in narrow (and arguably general) purpose AI has led to a myriad of practical but nascent technologies including autonomous vehicles, automated call-answering systems, highly automated factories, medical and legal expert systems, and so on.

While the automation of repetitive physical labor is an old story, the advent of AI/robotic systems to perform essentially any repetitive physical labor, as well as many non-repetitive physical tasks and also repetitive or non-repetitive cognitive tasks, is likely to dramatically change the dynamics governing human labor and its place in the global economy.

In their book, Brynjolfsson & McAfee argue that we are in the early stages of this process, but that it is already underway and has contributed significantly to income inequality and other difficulties in the labor pool. It is thus quite possible that the cause of much of the anger and frustration being channeled by the Trump (and previously Sanders) campaign is fundamentally caused by an automation process that is likely just getting started.

However, while a significant topic of conversation in tech and some economic circles, and while politicians love to talk about jobs, the automation of labor has played little to no role in the presidential election thus far. Will this continue to be the case? We ask:

Will the total time devoted to questions (and answers) directly referring to AI and/or robotic automation of labor in the presidential debates be less than 5 minutes?

The presidential debate schedule currently calls for three debates of around 90 minutes apiece. Resolution is positive if less than 5 minutes of this ~270 minutes is devoted to questions and answers directly discussing AI and robotic automation of labor. (The clock stops as soon as the discussion is steered into general talking points on jobs, or other non-AI-related issues.) If additional debates are added to the schedule they count as well. (Note: this is a relaunching of a very similar question from the primary race.)

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