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In the year ending November 2nd, 2020, will blockchain-enabled systems be applied to issues of substantial geopolitical importance?

A blockchain, is a growing list of records, called blocks, that are linked using cryptography. Each block contains a cryptographic hash of the previous block, a timestamp, and transaction data.

Blockchain was invented by a person (or group of people) using the name Satoshi Nakamoto in 2008 to serve as the public transaction ledger of the cryptocurrency bitcoin.

In addition to its application in cryptocurrencies, blockchain has also been proposed as a method to enable smart-contracts, i.e. contracts that can be partially or fully executed or enforced without human interaction.

Blockchain, and especially the cryptocurrencies that it enables, have have had some geopolitical ramifications, according to Trustnodes:

As Venezuela embarks on a radical experiment, as Turkey trades with Russia through crypto payments, as Iran considers its own cryptocurrency, and as Saudi Arabia as well as Dubai announce plans to issue digital currencies, the ramifications of blockchain technology to the post world war two financial order are becoming clearer by the day.

In the year ending November 2nd, 2020, will blockchain-enabled systems be applied to issues of substantial geopolitical importance?

This question resolves positively if any of the following occurs:

  • A new cryptocurrency will be issued by national government(s), and achieve a market capitalisation of >$10bn (in 2019 USD);

  • Cryptocurrencies are used to enable trade for goods and services for which at least one counterparty is being economically sanctioned by at least one G20 country, and the value of the trade flow exceeds $750M (in 2019 USD);

  • Cryptocurrencies are used to fund a group designated as a Foreign Terrorist Organizations by the United States, with funding being in excess of $100M;

  • Blockchain enabled smart contracts are implemented by any G20 government as part of national trade policy, or climate change mitigation policies to address commitment problems.

In case it's unclear to admins how to resolve this question, it shall be decided by unanimous vote of a committee of three, comprised of Zaki Manian, Allison Duettmann, and Anthony Aguirre. Resolves ambiguous in case of a non-unanimous vote.


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