14 comments
117 forecasters
How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?
Current estimate
30.1 babies
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 8, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 9, 2019
Will gene editing of human embryos for therapeutic purposes be officially approved by any country before 2035?
55% chance
8
When will epigenome editing be used in human embryos as a therapeutic approach for genetic diseases?
Aug 2036
(Jun 2032 - >Mar 2041)
Aug 2036
(Jun 2032 - >Mar 2041)
4 forecasters
Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
15% chance
78