Question
When will Hong Kong stop being a Special Administrative Region of China?
Total Forecasters78
Community Prediction
Nov 2046
(Jun 2036 - Feb 2049)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Jun 2036 | — |
| median | Nov 2046 | — |
| upper 75% | Feb 2049 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2070 | 3.9% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 22, 2019
Closes:Aug 8, 2044
Scheduled resolution:Nov 13, 2069
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 24, 2019
Authors:
Opened:Nov 22, 2019
Closes:Aug 8, 2044
Scheduled resolution:Nov 13, 2069
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 24, 2019