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    Hong Kong no longer SAR in China

    Created by Sylvain on {{qctrl.question.created_time | dateStr}}
    Published by Sylvain on {{qctrl.question.publish_time | dateStr}}

    Question

    As of question writing, Hong Kong is officially a Special administrative region of China (along with Macau).

    The Hong Kong Basic Law (the de facto constitution of HK) says in Chapter II, article 12:

    The Hong Kong Special Administrative Region shall be a local administrative region of the People's Republic of China, which shall enjoy a high degree of autonomy and come directly under the Central People's Government.

    Question: When will Hong Kong stop being a Special Administrative Region of China?

    Resolution details:

    • This question resolves upon publication of an official document by the Hong Kong authorities (or Chinese government if the former don't exist anymore) that declares another status for Hong Kong.
    • This question does not resolve from the Special Administrative Region status being merely renamed or slightly tweaked, as judged by a Metaculus admin on the basis of credible media reports.
    • In that last case, the Metaculus admins can choose to resolve ambiguous if the situation is judged to have become too unclear/contentious/intractable.
    • If a relevant declaration is made by some HK authority, but contested by another, a Metaculus admin can choose to delay question resolution until dominance or consensus is reached.
    Categories:
    Geopolitics
    Politics

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