Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
17
53
forecasters
12
17 comments
53 forecasters
Technology
What will the earliest preservation date of any resuscitated cryonics patient be?
Predict
Follow
share
embed
Current estimate
Feb 2062
Feb 2062
(Jan 2036 - >2099)
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (17)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
26 comments
285 forecasters
Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?
2%
chance
0 comments
78 forecasters
Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?
50%
chance
10 comments
67 forecasters
First Revival/Uploading of Cryonics Patient
Current estimate
2096
11 comments
302 forecasters
Cryonic resuscitation before 2100
5%
chance
4 comments
47 forecasters
What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?
Current estimate
2.36%
2 comments
15 forecasters
While cryopreservation using fixatives is available, how many times more likely will someone be to be revived by 2200 if they are cryopreserved using fixatives than without?
Current estimate
11.4
7 comments
26 forecasters
Revival chance at Alcor vs Cryonics Institute
Current estimate
0.841 ratio
20 comments
40 forecasters
How many patients will be in cryonic suspension at the Cryonics Institute in 2030?
Current estimate
403 patients