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When will 1 Terabyte MicroSD cards fall below $100USD?
At the 2019 Mobile World Congress, both Micron and SanDisk announced the first 1TB MicroSD cards. Those came to the consumer market the following May, with a retail price of $449.99USD. They have been seen on sale as low as $199.99USD.
When will a 1TB MicroSD be available for retail purchase for less than the equivalent of $100USD (in 2019)?
This can be a temporary sale price, so long as it can be straightforwardly purchased at that price by an ordinary consumer. The following circumstances are not applicable to resolve this question: sufficiently low prices derived from one-time discounts or discounts derived from coupons, programs such as loyalty schemes or credit card membership perks or other special price structures that are only available to a strict subset of the retailer's customers, or prices achieved by purchasing in bulk.
Metaculus help: Predicting
Predictions are the heart of Metaculus. Predicting is how you contribute to the wisdom of the crowd, and how you earn points and build up your personal Metaculus track record.
The basics of predicting are very simple: move the slider to best match the likelihood of the outcome, and click predict. You can predict as often as you want, and you're encouraged to change your mind when new information becomes available.
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Metaculus help: Community Stats
Use the community stats to get a better sense of the community consensus (or lack thereof) for this question. Sometimes people have wildly different ideas about the likely outcomes, and sometimes people are in close agreement. There are even times when the community seems very certain of uncertainty, like when everyone agrees that event is only 50% likely to happen.
When you make a prediction, check the community stats to see where you land. If your prediction is an outlier, might there be something you're overlooking that others have seen? Or do you have special insight that others are lacking? Either way, it might be a good idea to join the discussion in the comments.
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