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57 forecasters
PhilPapers survey mini-series: The many-worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 24, 2019
Closes:Aug 1, 2020
Resolved:Oct 29, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 26, 2019
Will a reliable poll of physicists reveal that a majority of those polled accept the many-worlds interpretation by 2050?
39% chance
78
Will quantum effects be widely accepted as responsible for consciousness before 2075?
5% chance
42
Will Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena have an ontologically-shocking explanation?
0.5% chance
95