59 forecasters

PhilPapers survey mini-series: Consciousness of future AI systems

community

52.7

result

39.19

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Dec 24, 2019

Closes:

Aug 1, 2020

Resolved:

Oct 29, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 26, 2019

Social Sciences

🏆 2016-2025 Leaderboard

The Alien Intelligence in Your Pocket

Atlantic•Oct 1, 2025

It’s time to prepare for AI personhood

Guardian•Sep 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch