Question

Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025?

Resolved:No

33 comments33

Total Forecasters573

Community Prediction

(0.1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-2.0

Community Peer Score

56.3

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Feb 10, 2025

Closes:

Mar 10, 2025

Resolves:

Mar 21, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 13, 2025

Bridgewater Forecasting Contest

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