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Will the number of people in extreme poverty in 2020 be lower than the number in 2015?

Question

Extreme poverty is defined as living on less than $1.90 a day, measured in 2011 Purchasing Power Parity prices (World Bank, 2017). In 2015, 9.98% of the World's population or 734.5 million people lived in extreme poverty (World Bank, 2019).

According to World Bank Data, extreme poverty has been declining by roughly 1% per year since the 1980's. However, there is evidence that the decline in global extreme poverty has been slowing.

Will we see fewer than 734.5M people in extreme poverty, worldwide in the year 2020, according to World Bank estimates?

This question resolves positively if the first estimates of the number in extreme poverty in the year 2020, published by the World Bank, is below 734.5M. In case the numbers are not published by the World Bank before the end of 2025, figures from other data sources, such as those listed on the data sources page, may be consulted.

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