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Will China fail to curtail its internment camps programs for Uyghurs and Muslims in 2020?

The Xinjiang re-education camps are internment camps that have been operated by the Xinjiang Uygur government for the purpose of indoctrinating Uyghur Muslims since 2017 as part of a "people's war on terror" announced in 2014 (Wikipedia).

These camps are reportedly operated outside the legal system and many Uyghurs have been interned without trial with no charges levied against them. Local authorities are reportedly holding hundreds of thousands of Uyghurs and Muslims from other ethnic minorities in these camps, for the stated purpose of countering extremism and terrorism as well as to promote sinicization (ibid.).

Will China fail to partially curtail its internment camps programs for Uyghurs and Muslims in 2020?

This question resolves negatively if any of the following conditions obtain:

  1. At least two independent credible reports indicate a reduction of the inmate population of at least 200,000 inmates relative to their latest estimates for 2019.


  2. At least two independent credible reports provide compelling evidence that there was a net reduction of at least 200 internment camps in the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region.

The question resolves positively if neither of these two conditions have been satisfied by the end of 2020.


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