Question
When will the first humans land successfully on Mars?
Total Forecasters369
Community Prediction
Sep 2043
(Jul 2036 - Feb 2055)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Jul 2036 | — |
| median | Sep 2043 | — |
| upper 75% | Feb 2055 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100 | 6.4% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jan 23, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 25, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Jan 23, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 25, 2020