Question
When will the Doomsday Clock reach midnight?
Total Forecasters81
Community Prediction
2083
(Sep 2039 - >2100)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Sep 2039 | — |
| median | 2083 | — |
| upper 75% | >2100 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100 | 37.7% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 25, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2099
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 27, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Jan 25, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2099
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 27, 2020