6 comments
136 forecasters
Will two or more spacecraft land on the Moon in 2025?
93%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 93% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Feb 27, 2025
Closes:Nov 29, 2025
Resolved:Mar 6, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 14, 2025
How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025?
5.91 spacecraft
(4.94 - 6.87)
5.91 spacecraft
(4.94 - 6.87)
91 forecasters
How many spacecraft will land on the moon in each of the following years?
165 forecasters
What will be the maximum number of people simultaneously on the moon in 2030?
1.94 people
(0.714 - 4.48)
1.94 people
(0.714 - 4.48)
97 forecasters