251 comments
1.6k forecasters
Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?
29%chance
4 pp this week
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 18, 2016
Closes:Jan 1, 2151
Scheduled resolution:Jan 3, 2151
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 19, 2016
When will the first person reach 150 years of age?
2134
(2087 - 2197)
2134
(2087 - 2197)
18 forecasters
When will the first biological human to live to the age of 1000 be born?
2098
(Dec 1993 - 2901)
2098
(Dec 1993 - 2901)
198 forecasters
Will there be any progress in human lifespan enhancement by 2100?
97% chance
436