246 comments
1.5k forecasters
Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?
28%chance
The community sees this as a toss-up.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 18, 2016
Closes:Jan 1, 2151
Scheduled resolution:Jan 3, 2151
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 19, 2016
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
When will the first person reach 150 years of age?
2133
(2089 - 2173)
2133
(2089 - 2173)
15 forecasters
When will the first biological human to live to the age of 1000 be born?
Jan 2075
(Dec 1989 - 2622)
Jan 2075
(Dec 1989 - 2622)
197 forecasters
Will there be any progress in human lifespan enhancement by 2100?
97% chance
433