Question

Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2026?

9
7
Total Forecasters270
Community Prediction
30%
(22% - 40%)

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50%
community: 30%
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Authors:
kikollan
Opened:Feb 27, 2025
Closes:Nov 29, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 14, 2025
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Artificial Intelligence