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Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2026)

What will be the value of the Taiwan Stock Index (TAIEX) at the end of 2026?

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%13.41k
median16.3k
upper 75%19.61k
Upper bound
>50k0.1%

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Authors:
Opened:Mar 21, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 31, 2027