29 comments
254 forecasters
When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?
Current estimate
Dec 2042
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 30, 2016
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 1, 2017
When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?
Jul 2047
(Jun 2037 - Dec 2061)
Jul 2047
(Jun 2037 - Dec 2061)
76 forecasters
When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?
Dec 2051
(Apr 2041 - May 2063)
Dec 2051
(Apr 2041 - May 2063)
95 forecasters
Will a practical nuclear fusion reactor first be developed in China?
25% chance
334