Question
How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill decrease total Medicaid spending from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034?
Resolved:989.772B $Total Forecasters81
Community Prediction
671B $
(539B $ - 779B $)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <0 $ | 1.4% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 538.5B $ | — |
| median | 670.9B $ | — |
| upper 75% | 779.1B $ | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1T $ | 3.0% | — |
What was the final result?989.772B $
Community Peer Score
35.8
Community Baseline Score
-42.8
Authors:
Opened:Apr 10, 2025
Closes:Sep 1, 2025
Resolves:Oct 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 15, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Apr 10, 2025
Closes:Sep 1, 2025
Resolves:Oct 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 15, 2025