9 comments
78 forecasters
Will a reliable poll of physicists reveal that a majority of those polled accept the many-worlds interpretation by 2050?
39%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 16, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2045
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 18, 2020
Will quantum effects be widely accepted as responsible for consciousness before 2075?
5% chance
42
Will the majority of leading cosmologists in 2030 agree that the evidence points to an accelerating universe?
99% chance
94
Will there be a Nobel Prize in Physics awarded for work in string theory before 2050?
11.7% chance
69