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Will the Chinese police or military intervene in Hong Kong before Summer 2020?

Will either PLA, PAP, or mainland police personnel physically intervene to oppose protesters in Hong Kong before 21 June 2020?

Positive resolution will be by either:

  • The Chinese or Hong Kong government (or any such government affiliated body) declaring this has happened.

  • A UN Security Council permanent member government declaring this has happened.

  • Overwhelming media report this has happened (at least 5 separate first hand accounts, preferably with photographic evidence).

Resolution details:

  • Physical intervention is taken here to mean that at least some personnel of the Chinese police or PLA or PAP is involved in the controlling, dispersing, or arresting people who are involved in a riot, demonstration, or protest in Hong Kong. These personnel may or may not be requested to assist by Hong Kong government, or the Hong Kong police.

  • The question resolves negatively if evidence in accordance with the above three criteria of the Chinese police or military intervening are not found before the end of the 27th of June, 2020.

  • Positive resolution retroactively closes the question 24 hours before the events.

This question was already asked thrice: for August, September, and the remainder of 2019, and resolved negatively all three times.


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