Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
95
95
forecasters
95 comments
95 forecasters
Fall 2025 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
Will Pierre Poilievre become Prime Minister of Canada before 2026?
Follow
share
embed
Resolved
No
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (95)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
28 comments
823 forecasters
Will Starmer leave office in 2026?
80%
chance
16 comments
31 forecasters
When will Starmer cease to be PM?
Current estimate
20 Sep 2026
0 comments
19 forecasters
Will the 2026 Alberta independence referendum pass?
10%
chance
1 comment
22 forecasters
Coalition wins next Australian federal election? (2028)
11%
chance
9 comments
36 forecasters
US annex Canada before June 3, 2072?
6%
chance
20 comments
49 forecasters
Nigel Farage UK PM before Jan 1 2035?
45%
chance
7 comments
10 forecasters
When will a referendum on Quebec independence take place?
Current estimate
10 Apr 2028
6 comments
17 forecasters
Nationals win more than Liberals in election before 2035?
10%
chance