143 forecasters

Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Dutch general election?

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

PVV71%

Gl/PvdA14.2%

CDA8.9%

Forecast Timeline

PVV

Gl/PvdA

CDA

Others (5)

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 15, 2025

Closed:

Oct 28, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Oct 29, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 28, 2025

Metaculus Cup Fall 2025

🏆 2025 Leaderboard

Geert Wilders failed in government, but the far right retains its grip on the Netherlands | Cas Mudde

Guardian•Oct 27, 2025

The Dutch go to the polls again in a snap election caused by anti-immigration lawmaker Wilders

Associated Press•Oct 27, 2025

Voters in Dutch general election have 27 parties and 1,166 candidates to choose from

Associated Press•Oct 26, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch