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47 forecasters
Will the U.S. federal government open formal investigations of at least 5 top-50 universities in the following years?
2021-2022result: Yes
2023-2024result: Yes
2025-2026result: Yes
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Authors:
Opened:Sep 4, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2029
Will the United States score in the bottom 50% for academic freedom in 2025 (according to the AFI)?
68.7% chance
105
Will senior DOJ leaders override normal procedures to open or accelerate a case against a high-profile presidential opponent or critic in the following years?
50 forecasters
Will the White House direct federal agencies to target three or more high-profile presidential critics in the following years?
51 forecasters