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43 forecasters

Will three or more competitive Senate or governor races hold no general election debates in the following years?

2021-2022result: No
2023-2024result: No
2025-202633.3%
Authors:
skmmcj
Opened:Sep 4, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2029
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
Politics
Elections

Will no debates be held between the actual or presumptive presidential nominees of the two major parties in the following US elections?

2021-2022
Annulled
2023-2024
No
2025-2026
Annulled
1 other
46 forecasters

Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?

2021-2022
No
2023-2024
No
2025-2026
15%
1 other
48 forecasters

Will an opposing-party authority block or remove a major-party nominee for statewide office from the U.S. general-election ballot in the following years?

2021-2022
No
2023-2024
No
2025-2026
6%
1 other
47 forecasters
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