10
116 forecasters
Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test before December 16, 2025?
ResolvedNo
Kim Jong Un interested in new talks with Trump
Decreases Likelihood
Diplomatic Optics Over Missile Tests
Decreases Likelihood
No Imminent Prep Visible at Punggye-ri
Decreases Likelihood
Exercise Cycle Decreases Escalation
Decreases Likelihood
Kim Jong Un's Nuclear Mandate on 09/27/25
Increases Likelihood