87 forecasters

Will the Cambodia-Thailand conflict result in ⩾20 deaths between October 1 and December 15, 2025?

3%chance

2 points

Top Key Factors

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 1, 2025

Closes:

Dec 15, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 16, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 4, 2025

RAND x Metaculus Policy Challenge