13
91 forecasters
13 comments
91 forecasters
How many G20 members will not have recognized the State of Palestine before November 16, 2025?
Three or fewer
Four
Five
Korea and Japan Depend on US
Increases Likelihood for Five
Israeli atrocity or appearance of same could sway Italian public opinion.
Decreases Likelihood for Five
Hamas intransigence or visible harm to its own population could harden Italy's position.
Increases Likelihood for Five
3 are former axis members (WW2)
Increases Likelihood for Five
Ceasefire in Gaza
Increases Likelihood
Italy response to protestor
Increases Likelihood
Political upheaval in Japan
Increases Likelihood
Korea foreign policy of new administration
Increases Likelihood