94 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 10.00% on 2025-10-23 for the Metaculus question "Will there be an FEC Form 1 filed for Elon Musk's Political Party before 2026?"?

25%chance

This question is closed for predictions.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 13, 2025

Closed:

Oct 13, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Oct 23, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 13, 2025

Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted

Include Bots:Yes