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468 forecasters

37

468 forecasters

Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?

50%chance

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12 comments48 forecasters

5Y after AGI, life satisfaction?

Current estimate

172 comments275 forecasters

Which AI world before 2050?

AI-Dystopia29.1%

Singularia17.5%

Paperclipalypse8.7%

188 comments3k forecasters

Human/Machine Intelligence Parity by 2040?

45 comments468 forecasters

GC to be caused by AI, if it occurs?

51 comments344 forecasters

Time From (weak) AGI to Superintelligence

Current estimate

11 comments172 forecasters

AI system beat human pros in forecasting tournament by 2030?

4 comments38 forecasters

CTs Policy Response After AI Catastrophe

6 comments101 forecasters

Lack of Major World Events Before 2050?