Question
When will a human chess player reach a FIDE rating of 2900?
Total Forecasters58
Community Prediction
Aug 2031
(Apr 2028 - Jan 2040)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Apr 2028 | — |
| median | Aug 2031 | — |
| upper 75% | >Jan 2040 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >220898880000% | 26.1% | — |
Authors:
Opened:May 3, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2039
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2039
Spot Scoring Time:May 5, 2020
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:May 3, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2039
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2039
Spot Scoring Time:May 5, 2020
