14
33 forecasters
What will the percent change be in the US bachelor's degrees awarded in the following years relative to 2024-25?
Forecasts
Top Key Factors
AI advancements reduce degree value
Less %
Students are already leaving universities despite peak birth periods
Less %
Demographic decline reduces degree demand
Less %
Less trust in universities after a wave of useless degrees being delivered
Less %
Potential offsets to demographic decline
More % for 2034-35
Potential offsets to demographic decline
More % for 2034-35
Demographic decline impacts 2034-35 more
More % for 2029-30
Positive enrollment trends for 2029-30
More % for 2029-30
Current students are nihilistic, not inspiring prospective students
Less % for 2029-30
Net immigration decline limits enrollments
Less %