32
56 forecasters
What will the percent change in people employed as software developers in the US be relative to 2025?
Forecasts
Top Key Factors
High wages and remuneration schemes make them likely to be layed off when possible
Less %
AI impact on developer jobs is high
Less %
Historical slow change in large occupations
Increases Uncertainty
AI capability not immediate job loss
More %
Potential consolidation of developer roles
Increases Uncertainty
Demand response: cheaper software boosts projects
More %
Rise of self-employed software developers
Less %
AI adoption lag is shorter for software roles
Less %
Massive population growth
Increases Uncertainty for 2035
Vibecoding enables software engineers
More % for 2035
Already a high share of US occupations
Less %