15
29 forecasters
15 comments
29 forecasters
How much will the occupational mix have changed in the following years, relative to November 2022?
Forecasts
Top Key Factors
Short horizon limits index change by 2027
Less % for 2027
AI impacts faster than previous tech transitions
More %
The ceiling is much higher as no job category is 100% safe from AI
More % for 2030
AI is more accessible and user friendly than past tech
More %
Unclear model for rapid AI diffusion impacts
Increases Uncertainty for 2030
Smoothing metric limits sudden movements
Less % for 2027
Technological diffusion is usually very slow economy-wide, AI might be an exception
Increases Uncertainty