47 forecasters

What will the percent change be in the US STEM bachelor's degrees awarded in the following years relative to 2024-25?

Forecasts

Top Key Factors

Capable AI may eliminate the economic value of many STEM degrees

Less %

Health-related enrollment growth in STEM

More % for 2029-30

Uncertainty if CS decline spreads to other fields

Increases Uncertainty for 2034-35

8.4% drop in CS enrollment impacts STEM degrees

Less % for 2029-30

High automation risk in computer science

Less %

Possibility that no computer work is needed anymore

Less % for 2034-35