17
37 forecasters
17 comments
37 forecasters
What will the percent change be in the US Humanities bachelor's degrees awarded in the following years relative to 2024-25?
Forecasts
Top Key Factors
Prestige will still pull people towards humanities
More %
There has already been a 50% drop in basically all of these studies, which makes it less likely to go down significantly
Increases Uncertainty
Demographic trends show fewer future students
Less %
Recent enrollment decline slows
Less %
Program closures may drive further decline
Less %
Decline may be noise, not a trend
Increases Uncertainty
Strong vibe shift towards the right among people who will be the parents at the time of the resolution
Less %
Computer Science degrees falling out of favor
Increases Uncertainty
AI impact favors intrinsically valuable degrees
More %
Shift toward trade jobs decreases humanities demand
Less %