Question
When will an AI defeat top human players in Poohsticks?
Total Forecasters39
Community Prediction
Mar 2033
(13 Sep 2027 - Jul 2048)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 13 Sep 2027 | — |
| median | Mar 2033 | — |
| upper 75% | Jul 2048 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100 | 9.2% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 1, 2021
Closes:Jan 11, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 11, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 3, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Apr 1, 2021
Closes:Jan 11, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 11, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 3, 2021