30 forecasters

What will the well-being ratio (resources to poverty threshold) be for the 50th-percentile US family in the following years?

Forecasts

Top Key Factors

Fiscal support not expected beyond 2024 levels

Decreases

Productivity growth expected to be gradual

Increases

Healthcare cost increases offset income gains

Decreases

Higher GDP supports increased median well-being

Increases

High risk of SPM threshold revisions by 2035

Increases Uncertainty

AI productivity gains modest for 50th-percentile

Increases