Authors:
Opened:May 29, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2200
Resolved:Apr 21, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:May 31, 2020
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
When will be the next war between "great powers" (defined using GDP, population, or permanent membership on UN Security Council)?
Apr 2045
(Jul 2035 - Dec 2069)
Apr 2045
(Jul 2035 - Dec 2069)
19 forecasters
Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?
2.9% chance
288
Will a world war begin before 2151?
60% chance
415