Authors:
Opened:May 29, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2200
Resolved:Apr 21, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:May 31, 2020
When will be the next war between "great powers" (defined using GDP, population, or permanent membership on UN Security Council)?
Apr 2045
(Jul 2035 - Dec 2069)
Apr 2045
(Jul 2035 - Dec 2069)
19 forecasters
Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?
2.5% chance
292
Will a world war begin before 2151?
60% chance
415