Question

When will be the next "Great Power" war?

Resolved:21 Apr 2024 16:00
38
77
Total Forecasters153
Community Prediction
Jul 2035
(19 Jan 2026 - Jan 2058)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%19 Jan 2026—
medianJul 2035—
upper 75%Jan 2058—
Upper bound
>21995.6%—

What was the final result?21 Apr 2024 16:00

Community Peer Score
1.1
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:May 29, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2200
Resolves:Jan 1, 2200
Spot Scoring Time:May 31, 2020
Geopolitics