Question

How many billions of parameters will the largest machine learning model trained before 2030 have?

Total Forecasters51
Community Prediction
1.04M B
(191k B - 8.55M B)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%191.1k B
median1.039M B
upper 75%8.547M B
Upper bound
>1B B5.4%
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Opened:Jun 4, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 6, 2020